Heyer Capital, LLC

investment management and timely advice from a local CPA (Fox Valley, Wisc.)

auto-economic-asphyxiation

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Retail sales fell last month, despite the “cash for clunkers” taxpayer transfer to the auto companies.  As it turns out — don’t tell Washington this and burst their bubble — but when poor people (that drive old cars) sign up for a boatload of consumer debt on a rapidly depreciating new clunker and a new monthly payment, they don’t actually run to the mall right away to spend like mad.

Austerity is the new ‘in.’  But now that Congress has shifted the demand curve back to present, expect a vacuum-collapse in auto sales now that the layer of demand is instantly removed.

Before they get too far with the “cash for house clunkers” program, recall that something like 30% of Americans would sell their house if they could get a good price.  That’s a heck of a price overhang and pending supply.  Do the world a favor and laugh out loud whenever someone on the TV or in polite company says, “Housing prices are coming back.”

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Written by heyercapital

August 13, 2009 at 7:32 pm

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